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Let $W$ be a standard $n$-dimensional Brownian motion, and $X$ the diffusion process given by the solution to the SDE

$$dX_t = \mu(X_t) \, dt + \sigma(X_t) \, dW_t,$$

with $\mu: \mathbb R^n \to \mathbb R$, $\sigma: \mathbb R^n \to \mathbb R^{n \times n}$ Lipschitz continuous, and $\sigma$ uniformly elliptic.

Then is it true that for all $t \geq 0$, almost surely we have

$$\limsup_{h \to 0^+} \left | \frac{X_{t + h} - X_t}{h^{1/2}} - \sigma (X_t) \left ( \frac{W_{t + h} - W_t}{h^{1/2}} \right ) \right | = 0?$$

Remark: The bound requested is quite sharp. To demonstrate its power, note that we would obtain as an immediate corollary the following:

Corollary: (Law of iterated logarithm for diffusion processes)

Almost surely, for all $t \geq 0$, we have

$$\limsup_{h \to 0_+} \frac{X_{t+h} - X_t}{\sqrt{2h \log \log \frac{1}{h}}} = -\liminf_{h \to 0_+} \frac{X_{t+h} - X_t}{\sqrt{2h \log \log \frac{1}{h}}} = |\sigma(X_t)|.$$

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    $\begingroup$ @NateRiver I agree that it is nice to document answers (and an encouraged policy) but maybe next time give a gap of a couple of days for other people to try to answer it first. That way it starts a nice conversation and others can contribute new ideas that perhaps you didn't already know. $\endgroup$ Commented Sep 23, 2024 at 18:04
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    $\begingroup$ @ThomasKojar Makes sense, I will do something more interactive like that next time. $\endgroup$ Commented Sep 23, 2024 at 19:21
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    $\begingroup$ @NateRiver just a reminder that those 'site rules' are Stack Exchange boilerplate rules, the social norms on MathOverflow tend away from asking with the intent to answer one's own question. If it turns someone asks a question and later figures it out, and no one has satisfactorily answered, then of course giving the answer is ok. $\endgroup$ Commented Sep 23, 2024 at 21:36
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    $\begingroup$ @NateRiver Fair enough regarding the site rules, I wasn't aware of that. (I still don't think it's a great use of the site though.) No idea what you're referring to with that 'disdain / dislike' aside. $\endgroup$ Commented Sep 23, 2024 at 21:36
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    $\begingroup$ I have cleaned up some comments, since the discussion has addressed the main point in a collegial way. $\endgroup$ Commented Sep 24, 2024 at 3:05

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This is true. We need the following result, essentially proven in this post.

Proposition: (Linearization of diffusion process)

With $X$ as in the problem statement, we have $$ \mathbb E \left [\frac{\sup_{0 \leq t \leq T} |X_t - x - \sigma(X_0) W_t|}{\sqrt T} \right ] = O(\sqrt T)$$ as $T \to 0^+$.

Proof of main theorem: We aim to deduce this from the above proposition. The idea will be to apply the Borel-Cantelli lemma along a sparse enough subsequence, but not too sparse so that we do not lose control of the difference quotients.

To this end, let $\varepsilon > 0$ be arbitrary. Consider the sequence $t_n := \frac{1}{n^3}$. By the proposition and the Markov inequality, there exists some $C, N> 0$ such that for all $n \geq N$,

$$\mathbb P \left ( \frac{\sup_{0 \leq t \leq {t_n}} |X_{t_n} - x - \sigma(X_0) W_{t_n}|}{\sqrt {t_{n+1}}} \geq \varepsilon \right )$$ $$= \mathbb P \left (\frac{\sup_{0 \leq t \leq {t_n}} |X_{t_n} - x - \sigma(X_0) W_{t_n}|}{\sqrt {t_{n}}} \geq \varepsilon \sqrt \frac{t_{n+1}}{t_n}\right )$$ $$ \leq \frac{C}{\varepsilon}\sqrt \frac{t^2_{n}}{t_{n+1}}.$$ Since $\frac{t_n}{t_{n+1}} \to 1$ as $n \to \infty$, we conclude that for all large enough $n$,

$$\mathbb P \left (\frac{\sup_{0 \leq t \leq {t_n}} |X_{t_n} - x - \sigma(X_0) W_{t_n}|}{\sqrt {t_{n+1}}} \geq \varepsilon \right ) \leq \frac{C}{\varepsilon} \sqrt t_n,$$

with a different constant $C$. Recalling that $t_n := \frac{1}{n^3}$, we see that the RHS is summable in $n$, and so $\mathbb P (\limsup_{n} E_{n, \varepsilon}) = 0$, where $E_{n, \varepsilon}$ denotes the event that $\frac{\sup_{0 \leq t \leq {t_n}} |X_{t_n} - x - \sigma(X_0) W_{t_n}|}{\sqrt {t_{n+1}}} \geq \varepsilon$.

To conclude, we note that the event $ \{ \limsup_{h \to 0^+}| \frac{X_h - x - \sigma(X_0) W_h}{h^{1/2}} | > 0 \}$ is contained within the union $\bigcup_{m = 1}^\infty \limsup_n E_{n, 1/m}$ which has probability $0$. Thus $$\limsup_{h \to 0^+} \left | \frac{X_h - x - \sigma(X_0) W_h}{h^{1/2}} \right | = 0$$ almost surely, as claimed.

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