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Let $G$ be a symmetric Gaussian random matrix with iid $E[G_{ij}]=0$ and $E[G_{ij}^2]=\frac{1}{n}$, and ordering its eigenvalues $\lambda_1\le \lambda_2\le \dots \le \lambda_n$ corresponding eigenvectors $v_1,\dots, v_n$. Define $X_t=\{X^i_t\}$ is a vector on $R^n$ for time $t\ge 0$ and $X_0$ is distributed uniformly on the unit sphere. Let $h(t)= X_t\cdot v_1$.

Let $T_\epsilon:=inf_{t>0}\{h(t)\ge \epsilon\}$. Assume that $$ h(t)\ge h(0)e^{2(\lambda_2-\lambda_1)t}\ge h(0)e^{2\delta t} $$ where $\delta=\min\{\lambda_i-\lambda_j\}$ is the smallest gap.

I try to find the upper bound of $T_\epsilon$ with high probability $1-Ce^{-c n}$ (or something like that).

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    $\begingroup$ the issue here is that $h(0)$ could be much smaller than $n^{-1/2}$ with large probability; the Gaussian distribution of $h(0)$ has a peak at 0 of height $n^{1/2}$, so $h(0)$ can be close to 0 with large probability; this produces an increase of $T_\epsilon$, beyond the $n^{2/3}\log n$ bound you write down; I have tried to work that out in the answer box. $\endgroup$ Commented Oct 17, 2022 at 18:12
  • $\begingroup$ @CarloBeenakker Thank you! Do you mean $P(|h(0)|<\alpha)\ge e^{-\alpha^2/2}$? I am not sure what do you mean "with probability $\alpha\sqrt{n}$"? Does it mean $P(|h(0)|<\alpha)=\alpha \sqrt{n}$? $\endgroup$ Commented Oct 17, 2022 at 18:41
  • $\begingroup$ yes: $P(|h(0)|<\alpha)=\alpha \sqrt{n}$ --- you're sampling from the peak of the gaussian, so the probability is large, not small. $\endgroup$ Commented Oct 17, 2022 at 18:45
  • $\begingroup$ @CarloBeenakker Can you explain why is $P(|h(0)|<\alpha)=\alpha \sqrt{n}$ true? $\endgroup$ Commented Oct 19, 2022 at 14:17
  • $\begingroup$ this estimate holds for $\alpha\ll \sqrt n$, since$\int_{-\alpha}^\alpha (n/2\pi)^{1/2}e^{-nx^2/2}\,dx=\text{Erf}\,(\tfrac{1}{2}\alpha\sqrt{n})=\sqrt{2/\pi}\alpha\sqrt n+{\cal O}(\alpha^2)$ --- the factor $\sqrt{2/\pi}$ is irrelevant here. $\endgroup$ Commented Oct 19, 2022 at 14:43

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I don't think this upper bound holds.

Notice that the probability distribution of $h(0)$ is a Gaussian of mean 0 and width $1/\sqrt n$, so the probability that $|h(0)|<\alpha$ is $\alpha\sqrt n$ for $0<\alpha<1/\sqrt n$.

Since $\lambda_2-\lambda_1\simeq n^{-2/3}$, the hitting time $T_\epsilon$ for $h(0)=\alpha$ is $$T_\epsilon\lesssim n^{2/3}\log(\epsilon/\alpha).$$ Choose $\alpha<e^{-\sqrt n}$, then $T_\epsilon$ can be larger than $n^{1/2}n^{2/3}>n^{2/3}\log n$ with probability $\sqrt{n}e^{-\sqrt n}$, so a larger probability than the $e^{-n}$ conjectured in the OP.

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  • $\begingroup$ Also, since $\sqrt{n} h(0)\to N(0, 1)$ weakly as $n\to \infty$, then $h(0)=O_p(n^{-1/2})$. Then $T_\epsilon \le C n^{2/3}\log n$ with probability 1 as $n\to \infty$. Does it make sense? $\endgroup$ Commented Oct 17, 2022 at 17:59
  • $\begingroup$ my point is that your upper bound $n^{2/3}\log n$ is too small; in the example I gave the upper bound is $n^{1/2}n^{2/3}$, which greatly exceeds your upper bound when $n\gg 1$. $\endgroup$ Commented Oct 17, 2022 at 18:09
  • $\begingroup$ Oh, sorry. I see your point that $P(T_\epsilon\le n)=1-\sqrt{n}e^{-\sqrt{n}}$. $\endgroup$ Commented Oct 17, 2022 at 18:13
  • $\begingroup$ How about if we change the initial distribution of $X_0$ to be uniformly distributed on the sphere with radius $\sqrt{n}$? In this case, $h(0)$ is a Gaussian of mean 0 and width 1. Then $|h(0)|\le \alpha$ with probability $\alpha$ for $0<\alpha<1$. So it seems that we can choose $\alpha=n^{-1/2}$? $\endgroup$ Commented Oct 17, 2022 at 18:19
  • $\begingroup$ a larger sphere will not help, the problem is that $h(0)$ can become very close to zero (by choosing the vector $X_0$ perpendicular to the vector $v_1$). $\endgroup$ Commented Oct 17, 2022 at 18:44

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