2023年中国外贸数据解读：出口创新高，2024年外贸趋势预测

2023年中国外贸数据解读：出口创新高，2024年外贸趋势预测

China's 2023 Foreign Trade Data Analysis: Record Export Growth and 2024 Outlook

2023年中国外贸进出口总值达41.76万亿元，同比增长0.2%。其中出口23.77万亿元（增长0.6%），进口17.99万亿元（下降0.3%）。12月单月进出口总值3.81万亿元创历史新高，环比增长2.8%。

China's total foreign trade value reached 41.76 trillion yuan in 2023, up 0.2% year-on-year. Exports totaled 23.77 trillion yuan (+0.6%) while imports stood at 17.99 trillion yuan (-0.3%). December's trade volume hit a monthly record of 3.81 trillion yuan, increasing 2.8% month-on-month.

贸易结构持续优化 | Trade Structure Optimization

海关总署数据显示：
• "一带一路"国家进出口19.47万亿元（+2.8%）
• 电动载人汽车等"新三样"出口突破万亿大关（+29.9%）
• 民营企业占比提升至53.5%

Customs data shows:
• Trade with Belt & Road countries: 19.47 trillion yuan (+2.8%)
• "New trio" exports (EVs, batteries): over 1 trillion yuan (+29.9%)
• Private enterprises accounted for 53.5% of total trade

国际市场份额保持稳定 | Stable Global Market Share

2023年中国出口国际市场份额保持在14%左右，连续15年保持全球第一。其中：
• 自主品牌出口增长9.3%
• 装备制造业出口占比达56.6%
• 汽车出口522.1万辆（+57.4%）

China maintained about 14% global export market share in 2023, remaining world's top exporter for 15 consecutive years. Highlights:
• Self-owned brand exports up 9.3%
• Equipment manufacturing accounted for 56.6% of exports
• Auto exports reached 5.22 million units (+57.4%)

2024年外贸展望 | 2024 Trade Outlook

超过75%的外贸企业预计2024年进出口将持平或增长。主要利好因素包括：
• 全球库存周期反弹
• "一带一路"市场持续拓展
• 新三样出口保持增长势头

Over 75% of foreign trade firms expect stable or growing trade in 2024. Key positive factors:
• Global inventory cycle rebound
• Continued Belt & Road market expansion
• Sustained growth momentum for "new trio" exports

专家预测：2024年中国出口增速有望达到4%（美元计价），外需对经济增长贡献将由负转正。

Expert forecast: China's exports may grow 4% (USD terms) in 2024, with external demand contributing positively to economic growth.