俄乌冲突对全球花卉产业的深度影响分析
作者 | Author: 周默/译 | Zhou Mo/Translated
来源 | Source: New Bloom
俄乌冲突不仅重塑了全球政治经济格局，更对花卉产业造成了连锁反应。本报道将解析最新行业动态，揭示冲突对全球花卉贸易网络的深层影响。
The Russia-Ukraine conflict has reshaped global political and economic landscapes, causing ripple effects across the floriculture industry. This report analyzes the latest developments and reveals the profound impacts on global flower trade networks.
支付体系崩溃 | Payment System Collapse
俄罗斯被排除出SWIFT系统导致国际交易瘫痪，直接影响花卉贸易。厄瓜多尔向俄罗斯出口的成吨鲜花面临无法结算的困境，目前尚无解决方案。
Russia's exclusion from the SWIFT system has paralyzed international transactions, directly affecting flower trade. Ecuador's tons of flower exports to Russia face unresolved payment issues with no immediate solution.
贸易中断危机 | Trade Disruption Crisis
冲突导致大量订单取消，影响数百万人利益。航空运输受阻、定价机制失灵、燃料成本飙升等因素共同加剧了行业困境。
The conflict has caused massive order cancellations, affecting millions. Combined factors including disrupted air transport, pricing mechanism failures, and soaring fuel costs have exacerbated industry challenges.
物流成本飙升 | Soaring Logistics Costs
运输难度和成本急剧上升。乌克兰和俄罗斯货币贬值迫使运费必须预付，为花卉贸易设置新障碍。能源价格暴涨更对物流和塑料包装产生连锁冲击。
Transport difficulties and costs have surged dramatically. Currency devaluation in Ukraine and Russia requires prepayment of freight, creating new trade barriers. Soaring energy prices further impact logistics and plastic packaging.
重点产区影响 | Key Production Areas Impact
荷兰：俄罗斯占荷兰花卉出口2.5%（1.85亿欧元）。能源价格暴涨迫使众多温室关闭。
Netherlands: Russia accounts for 2.5% of Dutch flower exports (€185 million). Soaring energy prices force greenhouse closures.
厄瓜多尔：35-45%花卉出口依赖俄罗斯市场。目前俄乌客户欠款达3300万美元，重要节日期间（占年销售额40%）的贸易受损严重。
Ecuador: 35-45% of flower exports depend on Russian market. Current debts from Russian and Ukrainian clients reach $33 million, severely damaging holiday sales (40% of annual revenue).
美国：厄瓜多尔花卉转向美国市场导致供过于求，价格已下跌25-30%，预计继续下行。
USA: Ecuadorian flowers diverting to US market cause oversupply, with prices dropping 25-30% and expected to fall further.
俄罗斯：本土花卉价格因冲突直接上涨，市场供需失衡加剧。
Russia: Domestic flower prices rise directly due to conflict, worsening market imbalance.
专家指出，这场危机正在重塑全球花卉贸易格局，行业需要建立新的供应链和支付解决方案来应对长期挑战。
Experts note this crisis is reshaping global flower trade patterns, requiring new supply chains and payment solutions to address long-term challenges.
