俄乌冲突导致英国建筑原料短缺 贸易救济署提议对华让步
由于俄乌冲突引发的供应链危机，英国建筑业正面临严重的原料短缺问题。英国贸易救济署(UK Trade Remedies Authority)最新提议取消对中国HFP钢筋的反倾销措施，以缓解国内建筑行业的燃眉之急。
According to Reuters on July 13, the UK construction industry is facing severe material shortages due to supply chain disruptions caused by the Russia-Ukraine conflict. The UK Trade Remedies Authority has proposed lifting anti-dumping measures on Chinese HFP rebar to address the urgent needs of the domestic construction sector.
数据显示，2020-2021年期间，俄罗斯、白俄罗斯和乌克兰向英国出口的钢筋占英国进口总量的27%。随着英国对俄白实施制裁，这一重要供应渠道被切断，导致英国建筑行业陷入原料危机。
Statistics show that from 2020 to 2021, rebar exports from Russia, Belarus and Ukraine accounted for 27% of UK's total imports. With sanctions imposed on Russia and Belarus, this critical supply channel has been severed, plunging the UK construction industry into a material crisis.
英国贸易救济署指出："继续对中国钢筋实施反倾销措施将严重影响英国经济。"该机构认为，在当前特殊情况下，取消这些限制措施符合英国经济利益。
The UK Trade Remedies Authority stated: "Continuing anti-dumping measures on Chinese rebar would severely impact the UK economy." The agency believes that lifting these restrictions under current special circumstances aligns with UK's economic interests.
值得注意的是，这并非英国首次在制裁俄罗斯后寻求替代方案。据俄罗斯卫星通讯社报道，英国已通过复杂手段秘密进口俄罗斯石油，包括将俄油与其他国家石油混合运输等方式规避制裁。
It's worth noting that this isn't the first time the UK has sought alternatives after sanctioning Russia. According to Sputnik, the UK has secretly imported Russian oil through complex methods, including mixing Russian oil with other countries' supplies to circumvent sanctions.
经济学家警告，英国经济前景不容乐观。彭博社调查显示，未来12个月英国陷入衰退的概率接近50%，而通胀率可能在第四季度达到10%，远高于其他欧洲主要经济体。
Economists warn that the UK's economic outlook remains grim. A Bloomberg survey indicates a nearly 50% chance of recession in the next 12 months, with inflation potentially reaching 10% in Q4 - significantly higher than other major European economies.
此次英国转向中国寻求解决方案，反映了全球供应链重组背景下各国面临的现实挑战。中国作为疫情后经济恢复最好的主要经济体，其市场活力和供应能力正成为各国应对危机的重要选择。
This shift toward China reflects the practical challenges countries face amid global supply chain restructuring. As the major economy with the best post-pandemic recovery, China's market vitality and supply capacity are becoming crucial options for nations addressing crises.
