2023年10月建筑材料工业景气指数分析报告 | 行业运行平稳
一、10月份建筑材料工业景气指数 | October Building Materials Industry Prosperity Index
2023年10月份建筑材料工业景气指数为101.8点，较上月回落2.8点，高于临界点，处于景气区间，建筑材料工业运行保持平稳。
The October 2023 Building Materials Industry Prosperity Index stood at 101.8 points, down 2.8 points from the previous month but remaining above the threshold, indicating stable industry performance within the prosperous range.
供给侧分析 | Supply Side Analysis
10月份，建筑材料工业价格指数、生产指数均高于临界点：
- 价格指数100.4点（+0.3点）
- 生产指数101.4点（-3.1点）
Both the price index (100.4 points, +0.3) and production index (101.4 points, -3.1) remained above the threshold, showing continued price increases with moderated production growth.
需求侧分析 | Demand Side Analysis
主要需求指标表现：
- 投资需求指数102.1点（-2.9点）
- 工业消费指数101.4点（-3.6点）
- 国际贸易指数99.3点（+1.7点）
Key demand indicators showed: investment demand index at 102.1 (-2.9), industrial consumption at 101.4 (-3.6), and international trade index at 99.3 (+1.7), indicating slowing domestic demand growth but stabilizing exports.
二、MPI影响因素分析及预警 | MPI Factor Analysis and Early Warning
1. 市场供需状况 | Market Supply-Demand Balance
10个子行业生产指数位于临界点以上，包括水泥、混凝土制品等。7个行业产品价格环比增长，但多数行业价格仍低于去年同期，市场维持供大于求格局。
10 sub-sectors including cement and concrete products maintained production above threshold. While 7 sectors saw monthly price increases, most remained below last year's levels, indicating ongoing oversupply.
2. 行业运行环境 | Industry Operating Environment
能源价格上涨带来成本压力，但国家保供政策将稳定供给。随着季节性因素影响，11月后建材供需将减弱，价格波动可能加剧。
Rising energy costs pose challenges, though national supply guarantees should stabilize the market. Post-November seasonal declines may increase price volatility amid oversupply conditions.
关于MPI指数的说明 | About the MPI Index
建筑材料工业景气指数（MPI）是监测行业运行的重要指标，包含供给侧（价格、生产）和需求侧（投资、消费、贸易）多维度数据，为行业预测预警提供科学依据。
The Building Materials Industry Prosperity Index (MPI) serves as a crucial monitoring tool, incorporating supply-side (price, production) and demand-side (investment, consumption, trade) metrics to provide scientific basis for industry forecasting.
联系我们 | Contact Us
国材（北京）建筑科学研究院有限公司
Website: www.guocaiic.com
Tel: 18701226980
Email: [email protected]
