罗非鱼价格稳定分析：外贸订单暴增背后的市场逻辑

罗非鱼价格稳定分析：外贸订单暴增背后的市场逻辑

Tilapia Price Stability Analysis: Market Logic Behind Surging Export Orders

近期罗非鱼市场呈现价格稳定态势，11月中旬全国各地塘头收购价格如下：

1-1.6斤/尾规格：珠海平沙地区4元/斤，湛江地区4.2元/斤，茂名地区4.3-4.4元/斤，东莞谢岗地区4.5元/斤，海南地区4.1-4.3元/斤。

0.6-1斤/尾规格：珠海平沙地区3元/斤，湛江地区3.2元/斤，茂名地区3.4元/斤，海南地区3.3元/斤。

The tilapia market has shown stable prices recently. In mid-November, the pond-head purchase prices across China were as follows:

1-1.6kg/tail specification: Zhuhai Pingsha area 4 yuan/jin, Zhanjiang area 4.2 yuan/jin, Maoming area 4.3-4.4 yuan/jin, Dongguan Xiegang area 4.5 yuan/jin, Hainan area 4.1-4.3 yuan/jin.

0.6-1kg/tail specification: Zhuhai Pingsha area 3 yuan/jin, Zhanjiang area 3.2 yuan/jin, Maoming area 3.4 yuan/jin, Hainan area 3.3 yuan/jin.

外贸订单暴增但价格维持低位

Export Orders Surge But Prices Remain Low

近期，为筹备圣诞节和新年采购，罗非鱼加工厂外贸订单量大幅增加，但订单价格依旧维持低位。加工厂方面也无意提高收购价格，预计后市各地罗非鱼价格将保持稳定，上涨空间有限。

Recently, to prepare for Christmas and New Year purchases, the export orders of tilapia processing plants have increased significantly, but the order prices remain low. Processing plants have no intention to raise purchase prices, and it is expected that tilapia prices will remain stable in the future market with limited room for increase.

市场供应充足 养殖户售鱼意愿不强

Ample Market Supply With Weak Farmer Selling Willingness

目前，各地罗非鱼存量充足，多数存量鱼规格在0.8斤/尾左右。由于鱼价不理想，部分养殖户售鱼意愿不强。进入农历十月后，罗非鱼苗种产量有所下降，加之养殖户放苗热情不高，苗种销售情况并不理想。

Currently, tilapia stocks are sufficient in various regions, with most stocked fish weighing around 0.8kg/tail. Due to unsatisfactory fish prices, some farmers have weak willingness to sell. After entering the tenth month of the lunar calendar, tilapia fry production has declined, and coupled with farmers' low enthusiasm for stocking, fry sales are not ideal.

市场展望：在供应充足和外贸价格压制的双重因素下，预计短期内罗非鱼价格将维持稳定格局。

Market Outlook: Under the dual factors of sufficient supply and export price suppression, tilapia prices are expected to remain stable in the short term.