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2025 Adjusted Quarterback Efficiency: Through Week 3
The best measure of quarterback value, adjusting for YAC, drops, turnover luck, SOS, blocking and other factors
Sep 24
•
Kevin Cole
8
4
Week 4 NFL Power Rankings
The Detroit Lions are moving on up, but the Buffalo Bills are still at the top of the NFL
Sep 23
•
Kevin Cole
10
4
Week 3 Monday Night Ravens-Lions: Advanced Review
The Lions run all over the Ravens in a matchup of two elite offenses
Sep 23
•
Kevin Cole
5
2
Game Reviews
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Week 3 Monday Night Ravens-Lions: Advanced Review
The Lions run all over the Ravens in a matchup of two elite offenses
Sep 23
•
Kevin Cole
5
2
Week 3 Late Window: Advanced Reviews
All the advanced stats, visualizations & commentary for Chargers-Broncos, Seahawks-Saints, Bears-Cowboys & 49ers-Cardinals
Sep 22
•
Kevin Cole
8
Week 3 Early Window: Advanced Reviews
All the advanced stats, visualizations & commentary for Panthers-Falcons, Browns-Packers, Jaguars-Texans, Vikings-Bengals, Patriots-Steelers…
Sep 22
•
Kevin Cole
8
Week 3 Thursday Night Bills-Dolphins: Advanced Review
The Bills eventually close out the game, with their dominant offense making the difference
Sep 19
•
Kevin Cole
7
Week 2 Monday Night Texans-Buccaneers & Raiders-Chargers: Advanced Reviews
Baker Mayfield continues his magic for the Bucs, and the Raiders offense falls apart against the Chargers
Sep 16
•
Kevin Cole
7
Power Rankings
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Week 4 NFL Power Rankings
The Detroit Lions are moving on up, but the Buffalo Bills are still at the top of the NFL
Sep 23
•
Kevin Cole
10
4
Week 3 NFL Power Rankings
A flip on top, despite both teams winning. Plus, the Lions recover a bit, and the Bengals tumble with the loss of Joe Burrow
Sep 16
•
Kevin Cole
7
2
Week 2 NFL Power Rankings
Despite the loss, the Baltimore Ravens stay on top, with the biggest movers being the Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions
Sep 9
•
Kevin Cole
10
2025 Week 1 NFL Power Rankings
Ranking each team by neutral-field expected score differential, incorporating prior-season data, injury luck and roster changes this offseason
Aug 27
•
Kevin Cole
15
5
Super Bowl Power Rankings: Chiefs vs Eagles
These aren't the top-2 teams by my numbers, but close to the top, with the Chiefs rated only slightly better
Jan 29
•
Kevin Cole
9
Adjusted QB Efficiency
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2025 Adjusted Quarterback Efficiency: Through Week 3
The best measure of quarterback value, adjusting for YAC, drops, turnover luck, SOS, blocking and other factors
Sep 24
•
Kevin Cole
8
4
2025 Adjusted Quarterback Efficiency: Week 2
The best measure of quarterback value, adjusting for YAC, drops, turnover luck, SOS, blocking and other factors
Sep 17
•
Kevin Cole
8
1
2025 Adjusted Quarterback Efficiency: Week 1
The best measure of quarterback value, adjusting for YAC, drops, turnover luck, SOS, blocking and other factors
Sep 10
•
Kevin Cole
11
Who is the real 2024 NFL MVP? Adjusted Quarterback Efficiency (AQE)
In a razor-thin contest for NFL MVP, the majority of metrics lean slightly in one direction
Jan 8
•
Kevin Cole
10
5
2024 Adjusted Quarterback Efficiency: Through Week 17
The best measure of quarterback value, adjusting for YAC, drops, turnover luck, SOS, blocking and other factors
Jan 2
•
Kevin Cole
6
Bayesian Quarterback Rankings
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Week 1 Bayesian Quarterback Rankings
Using historical Adjusted Quarterback Efficiency (AQE) and Bayesian statistical analysis to most accurately predict quarterback performance
Sep 4
•
Kevin Cole
10
4
Week 17 Bayesian Quarterback Rankings
Caleb Williams showing some signs of life, while the top-10 remains solidly in place
Dec 25, 2024
•
Kevin Cole
9
Week 16 Bayesian Quarterback Rankings
Drake Maye establishing himself in the mid-tier, and Aaron Rodgers showing signs of life
Dec 19, 2024
•
Kevin Cole
5
Week 15 Bayesian Quarterback Rankings
Russell Wilson and Sam Darnold rising up to the top-half of the rankings
Dec 12, 2024
•
Kevin Cole
3
2
Week 14 Bayesian Quarterback Rankings
Jordan Love is now a top-5 quarterback by the projections
Dec 5, 2024
•
Kevin Cole
6
4
Research
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2025 NFL Offseason: Improvement Index for all 32 teams
Projecting point-differential gains and losses based on offseason moves for every NFL team
Mar 10
•
Kevin Cole
16
5
NFL Plus/Minus: Myles Garrett is the Defensive Player of the Year (Again)
Using historical on-off the field splits and player clustering to estimate value of defenders
Jan 16
•
Kevin Cole
8
NFL Plus/Minus: Who Should Be The 2024 NFL Offensive Player Of The Year?
Using proprietary NFL Plus/Minus methodology to concretely assign value to all non-quarterback offensive players
Jan 9
•
Kevin Cole
11
2
2024 NFL Offseason: Improvement Index for all 32 teams
Projecting point-differential gains and losses based on offseason moves for every NFL team
Mar 13, 2024
•
Kevin Cole
16
17
Inverting The Pyramid: The Optimal Offseason Guide to NFL Team-Building
Availability should dictate which positions are targeted when, placing the optimal bets at the right points in the offseason cycle
Mar 6, 2024
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Kevin Cole
26
3
NFL Draft
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2025 Analytical Draft Grades: AFC
Quantifying trade, positional and selection value for the most accurate and predictive assessments of how well teams did in the NFL draft
Apr 28
•
Kevin Cole
6
3
2025 Analytical Draft Grades: NFC
Quantifying trade, positional and selection value for the most accurate and predictive assessments of how well teams did in the NFL draft
Apr 28
•
Kevin Cole
9
2
2025 NFL Draft Day 2 Analytical Review
Using consensus data from mock drafts and big boards, plus surplus value considerations, to analyze Day 2 of the NFL draft
Apr 26
•
Kevin Cole
8
1
2025 NFL Draft First-Round Analytical Review
Using consensus data from mock drafts and big boards, plus surplus value considerations, to analyze the first round of the NFL draft
Apr 25
•
Kevin Cole
14
Final 2025 Consensus NFL Draft Mock
Leveraging hundreds of media and analyst mock drafts to project the consensus picks and range of outcomes through the first round of the 2025 NFL draft
Apr 22
•
Kevin Cole
6
