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Voters say they’ll blame Republicans more for a government shutdown
52% of U.S. adults agree with Democrats refusing to sign a funding bill unless Republicans restore health care spending to pre-OBBB levels
12 hrs ago
•
G. Elliott Morris
96
18
It’s question time
Send in your questions for the September Q&A
Sep 25
•
G. Elliott Morris
24
22
Are Democrats "talking too much" about left-wing issues?
The data mostly do not justify the conclusions people are drawing
Sep 25
•
G. Elliott Morris
90
17
New poll: Percent saying America on the "wrong track" hits new high
Plus: Democrats lead the U.S. House generic ballot by 5, Americans reject ICE racial profiling; and approval of Trump's handling of prices and health…
Sep 23
•
G. Elliott Morris
119
22
A lot of powerful people just don’t realize how unpopular Trump is
The backlash to ABC/Disney canceling Kimmel shows why it's important for businesses and the public to understand that two-thirds of Americans are not…
Sep 22
•
G. Elliott Morris
537
29
Quality data. Accurate analysis. New posts 2-4x/week. Subscribe to get them in your inbox:
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No roundup post today; I’m wrangling our poll data
Dear readers,
Sep 21
•
G. Elliott Morris
59
6
When identity politics trumps the Constitution
The First Amendment is the latest casualty of the Republican Party's identity politics, and Trump's cult of personality. What can stop him?
Sep 19
•
G. Elliott Morris
260
54
The Senators who beat expectations; + a FAQ about WAR/WARP
Out estimates of the Wins Above Replacement for U.S. Senators as of 2024
Sep 17
•
G. Elliott Morris
and
Mark Rieke
36
8
House retirements forecast Democratic gains in 2026
17 Republican and 11 Democratic U.S. House members have said they won't run for re-election next year
Sep 16
•
G. Elliott Morris
69
17
People are more likely to support partisan violence when they think the other party does too | Weekly roundup for September 14, 2025
Also this week: Trump ties Biden low on inflation/the economy; Mamdani up big in New York City; independent redistricting is an 80-20 issue. + more!
Sep 14
84
17
"America’s Reichstag fire"
Political violence remains rare, but leaders can help prevent tragedy by condemning hate and defending democratic values
Sep 12
•
G. Elliott Morris
198
15
Political Trends of 2025
Watch now (34 mins) | A recording from G. Elliott Morris and The New Republic's live video
Sep 10
•
G. Elliott Morris
,
The New Republic
, and
Amanda Litman
41
3
34:43
Premium
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Are Democrats "talking too much" about left-wing issues?
The data mostly do not justify the conclusions people are drawing
Sep 25
•
G. Elliott Morris
90
17
A lot of powerful people just don’t realize how unpopular Trump is
The backlash to ABC/Disney canceling Kimmel shows why it's important for businesses and the public to understand that two-thirds of Americans are not…
Sep 22
•
G. Elliott Morris
537
29
House retirements forecast Democratic gains in 2026
17 Republican and 11 Democratic U.S. House members have said they won't run for re-election next year
Sep 16
•
G. Elliott Morris
69
17
"America’s Reichstag fire"
Political violence remains rare, but leaders can help prevent tragedy by condemning hate and defending democratic values
Sep 12
•
G. Elliott Morris
198
15
How Democrats can beat Trump on the economy
The president is weak on jobs and inflation, which Democrats can use to restore their working-class image
Sep 9
•
G. Elliott Morris
72
13
Subscribe
Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll
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Voters say they’ll blame Republicans more for a government shutdown
52% of U.S. adults agree with Democrats refusing to sign a funding bill unless Republicans restore health care spending to pre-OBBB levels
12 hrs ago
•
G. Elliott Morris
96
18
New poll: Percent saying America on the "wrong track" hits new high
Plus: Democrats lead the U.S. House generic ballot by 5, Americans reject ICE racial profiling; and approval of Trump's handling of prices and health…
Sep 23
•
G. Elliott Morris
119
22
Democrats lead the U.S. House generic ballot by 8; voters back fair maps and oppose Trump's tariffs
Results from the August Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll
Aug 26
•
G. Elliott Morris
102
34
Trump is underwater on trade in 40 states
According to analysis of issue approval data in Strength In Numbers/Verasight polls
Aug 8
•
G. Elliott Morris
96
12
New poll: Democrats lead House generic ballot; deportations unpopular; Musk party flops
Results from the July Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll
Jul 22
•
G. Elliott Morris
114
27
How Democrats can beat Trump on the economy
The president is weak on jobs and inflation, which Democrats can use to restore their working-class image
Sep 9
•
G. Elliott Morris
72
13
Six months of Strength In Numbers
An update on the newsletter business and other projects
Sep 7
•
G. Elliott Morris
169
70
Trump faces a large intensity gap in his approval rating
Nearly a majority of Americans strongly disapprove of the job he's doing as president. That is starting to have political costs
Sep 5
•
G. Elliott Morris
239
28
AI can't replace polling
The use of AI models to mimic human respondents betrays the public, and provides inaccurate answers to key questions
Sep 2
•
G. Elliott Morris
68
14
Support for partisan gerrymandering is growing | Weekly roundup for August 31, 2025
Also this week: Demographic math favors Mamdani in New York; Election denier appointed head of election integrity at Homeland Security; Forecasting…
Aug 31
67
22
Voters say crime is a problem, but don't approve of Trump's response
Crime is the latest issue where the president has moved too far to the right relative to the public's ideal policy
Aug 29
•
G. Elliott Morris
58
16
Is Texas actually a blue state?
Party registration statistics show there are more Democrats in Texas than Republicans... or do they?
Aug 28
•
G. Elliott Morris
66
7
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