外贸订单保卫战：中国如何应对出口"旺季不旺"的挑战
中国外贸正面临"旺季不旺"的挑战。根据官方数据，10月份中国进出口总值以人民币计算同比增长6.9%，连续三个月下滑。以美元计算，10月进出口总值同比下降0.4%，远低于9月3.4%的增速。其中，出口同比下降0.3%，而9月增速为5.7%。
China's foreign trade is facing the challenge of "weak peak season". According to official data, China's total import and export value in October increased by 6.9% year-on-year in RMB terms, declining for three consecutive months. In US dollar terms, the total import and export value in October decreased by 0.4% year-on-year, significantly lower than the 3.4% growth in September. Among them, exports decreased by 0.3% year-on-year, compared with 5.7% growth in September.
订单减少的主要原因包括：世界经济整体低迷，美欧等发达经济体通胀高企抑制居民购买力；其他经济体生产能力恢复；中国外贸企业境外参展受限等。
Main reasons for order reduction include: weak global economy, high inflation in developed economies suppressing purchasing power, recovery of production capacity in other economies, and restrictions on Chinese foreign trade enterprises participating in overseas exhibitions.
中国已打响"订单保卫战"，采取多项措施稳定外贸：
China has launched an "order protection battle", taking multiple measures to stabilize foreign trade:
1. 深耕周边市场：中国与东盟贸易持续增长，前10个月贸易总值同比增长15.8%，其中对东盟出口增长22.7%。中国-东盟自贸区3.0版谈判已启动。
1. Deepening neighboring markets: China-ASEAN trade continues to grow, with total trade value increasing by 15.8% in the first 10 months, including 22.7% growth in exports to ASEAN. China-ASEAN FTA 3.0 negotiations have been launched.
2. 扶持跨境电商：中国跨境电商综合试验区已扩至100多个，与27个国家签署电商合作备忘录。
2. Supporting cross-border e-commerce: China has expanded cross-border e-commerce comprehensive pilot zones to over 100, and signed e-commerce cooperation MOUs with 27 countries.
3. 助力企业出国参展：已审批15个2022年11月至2023年2月期间的出国经贸展览项目，涉及纺织、汽配等重点出口领域。
3. Assisting enterprises to participate in overseas exhibitions: 15 overseas economic and trade exhibition projects from November 2022 to February 2023 have been approved, covering key export sectors such as textiles and auto parts.
中国外贸仍具优势：民营企业进出口快速增长（前10个月增长14.4%）；高性价比商品在通胀环境下更具竞争力；RCEP等自贸协定持续释放红利。
China's foreign trade still has advantages: Rapid growth in import and export of private enterprises (14.4% growth in first 10 months); Cost-effective products are more competitive in inflationary environment; FTAs like RCEP continue to deliver benefits.
专家预计，随着稳增长政策效应释放，四季度中国外贸增速仍有望实现小幅抬升。
Experts predict that with the effect of growth-stabilizing policies, China's foreign trade growth rate in the fourth quarter is still expected to achieve a slight increase.