人民币贬值难救中国轮胎出口困境：贸易壁垒成最大挑战
人民币贬值对轮胎出口的实际影响有限
"人民币贬值有利于拉动出口，这对我们公司而言是有利的。目前，公司出口额大于进口额。"贵州轮胎在网络互动平台上表示。然而，这样的"好消息"并未让行业感到兴奋。
The limited actual impact of RMB depreciation on tire exports
"The depreciation of RMB is beneficial for boosting exports, which is favorable for our company. Currently, our export volume exceeds import volume," said Guizhou Tire on an online interactive platform. However, this "good news" hasn't excited the industry.
2015年8月央行调整汇率机制后，人民币持续贬值。理论上，人民币每贬值1%，出口将增加约1.5%。但对中国轮胎行业而言，情况并不乐观。
After the central bank adjusted the exchange rate mechanism in August 2015, the RMB continued to depreciate. Theoretically, every 1% depreciation of RMB would increase exports by about 1.5%. But for China's tire industry, the situation isn't optimistic.
贸易壁垒的影响远超汇率波动
美国"双反"调查对中国轮胎出口造成严重打击。2009年"轮胎特保案"导致中国对美轮胎出口从22亿美元暴跌至9.68亿美元。2015-2016年新一轮"双反"调查更是雪上加霜。
Trade barriers far outweigh exchange rate fluctuations
The U.S. "double reverse" investigations have severely impacted China's tire exports. The 2009 "tire special safeguard case" caused China's tire exports to the U.S. to plummet from $2.2 billion to $968 million. The new round of "double reverse" investigations in 2015-2016 made matters worse.
全球反倾销"跟风"加剧行业困境
欧盟、印度、巴西等国家和地区纷纷加入对中国轮胎的反倾销队伍。山东省橡胶行业协会预测，2016年欧盟可能对中国轮胎发起"双反"调查。
Global anti-dumping "bandwagon effect" worsens industry difficulties
The EU, India, Brazil and other countries and regions have joined the anti-dumping campaign against Chinese tires. The Shandong Rubber Industry Association predicts that the EU may launch "double reverse" investigations against Chinese tires in 2016.
行业转型才是根本出路
业内人士指出，增加产品附加值、开发高端产品、注重品牌建设才是中国轮胎业发展的必由之路。汇率波动和贸易壁垒都不是关键问题，产业升级才是核心。
Industry transformation is the fundamental solution
Industry insiders point out that increasing product added value, developing high-end products, and focusing on brand building are the only way for the development of China's tire industry. Exchange rate fluctuations and trade barriers are not key issues - industrial upgrading is the core.
