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Pablo
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Suppose that the expected number of matchings of size $r$ for some $r \leq n$ is at least $1$. That is, we expect to have a matching of size $r$. By linearity of expectation:

$$1 \leq {n \choose r}^2 {p^{r^{2}}}$$$$1 \leq {n \choose r}^2 r! \ {p^{r}}$$ that is you need to find the asymptotic for $r$ to satisfy $(1/p)^{r^2} \leq {n \choose r}^2$this.

Suppose that the expected number of matchings of size $r$ for some $r \leq n$ is at least $1$. That is, we expect to have a matching of size $r$. By linearity of expectation:

$$1 \leq {n \choose r}^2 {p^{r^{2}}}$$ that is you need to find the asymptotic for $r$ to satisfy $(1/p)^{r^2} \leq {n \choose r}^2$.

Suppose that the expected number of matchings of size $r$ for some $r \leq n$ is at least $1$. That is, we expect to have a matching of size $r$. By linearity of expectation:

$$1 \leq {n \choose r}^2 r! \ {p^{r}}$$ that is you need to find the asymptotic for $r$ to satisfy this.

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Pablo
  • 11.4k
  • 2
  • 23
  • 73

Suppose that the expected number of matchings of size $r$ for some $r \leq n$ is at least $1$. That is, we expect to have a matching of size $r$. By linearity of expectation:

$$1 \leq {n \choose r}^2 {p^{r^{2}}}$$ that is you need to find the asymptotic for $r$ to satisfy $(1/p)^{r^2} \leq {n \choose r}^2$.