中国钢铁产量突破10亿吨：市场需求与行业增长深度解析
中国钢铁产量再创新高，2020年前11个月粗钢累计产量已达9.6159亿吨，同比增长5.5%。按照11月平均日产计算，12月14日国内粗钢产量累计突破10.02498亿吨，预计全年将达到10.5亿吨。钢材产量同样亮眼，前11个月达12.02亿吨，同比增长7%，全年有望超过13亿吨。
China's steel production hits new record high, with crude steel output reaching 961.59 million tons in the first 11 months of 2020, up 5.5% year-on-year. Based on November's average daily output, cumulative production exceeded 1 billion tons by December 14, with annual output expected to reach 1.05 billion tons. Finished steel products also showed strong performance, reaching 1.202 billion tons in the first 11 months (up 7% YoY), with annual output projected to exceed 1.3 billion tons.
钢铁消费结构解析：建筑行业是用钢第一大户，约占钢材消费量的55%，其中房地产占建筑用钢的75%，基建项目占25%。工业用钢方面，机械类占13.5%，汽车行业占7%，造船行业占2%。
Steel consumption breakdown: Construction is the largest steel consumer (55% of total), with real estate accounting for 75% of construction steel and infrastructure projects 25%. For industrial use, machinery accounts for 13.5%, automotive 7%, and shipbuilding 2%.
行业增长驱动因素：2020年1-11月，房地产投资增长6.8%，基建投资增长1.1%；电器机械制造业增长8.1%；汽车制造业增长6.3%。进入四季度后，增长进一步加速：11月房地产投资增长11.5%，汽车制造业增长11.1%，工业机器人产量增长31.7%。
Key growth drivers: From January to November 2020, real estate investment grew 6.8%, infrastructure investment 1.1%, electrical machinery manufacturing 8.1%, and automotive manufacturing 6.3%. Growth accelerated in Q4: November saw 11.5% growth in real estate investment, 11.1% in automotive manufacturing, and 31.7% in industrial robot production.
钢材供需变化：中国钢材出口从2015年的1.12亿吨峰值降至2020年净出口不足3000万吨。随着国内经济复苏，特别是制造业出口订单大增，导致下半年钢材供应紧张，价格持续上涨。
Supply-demand dynamics: China's steel exports dropped from peak of 112 million tons in 2015 to net exports below 30 million tons in 2020. With domestic economic recovery and surging export orders for manufactured goods, steel supply tightened in the second half, driving continuous price increases.
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