2023年中国服装出口数据分析：挑战与机遇并存

2023年中国服装出口数据分析：挑战与机遇并存

China's Garment Export Data Analysis 2023: Challenges and Opportunities

2023年中国服装出口总体表现

Overview of China's Garment Exports in 2023

根据中国海关统计，2023年1-12月，我国服装（含衣着附件）累计出口1591.4亿美元，同比下降7.8%，但较疫情前的2019年同期增长8.5%。

According to China Customs statistics, from January to December 2023, China's garment exports (including clothing accessories) totaled $159.14 billion, down 7.8% year-on-year but up 8.5% compared with the same period in 2019 before the pandemic.

出口价格下降是主要影响因素

Declining Export Prices as Major Factor

2023年1-11月数据显示，梭织服装出口价格同比下降5.5%，针织服装出口价格下降7.8%。价格下降的主要原因包括：2022年高基数效应、国际消费能力减弱、国内PPI连续负增长、人民币贬值以及跨境电商低价产品比重增加。

Data from January to November 2023 shows that woven garment export prices fell 5.5% year-on-year, while knitted garment prices dropped 7.8%. The main reasons for price declines include: high base effect from 2022, weakened international consumption capacity, 14 consecutive months of negative PPI growth in China, RMB depreciation, and increased proportion of low-priced cross-border e-commerce products.

市场结构变化显著

Significant Changes in Market Structure

对西方发达经济体出口同比下降14.7%，但对"一带一路"沿线国家出口增长1.4%，其中对中亚五国出口大增16.7%，俄罗斯增长12.8%，非洲增长15%。

Exports to Western developed economies fell 14.7% year-on-year, while exports to Belt and Road countries grew 1.4%, with Central Asian countries up 16.7%, Russia up 12.8%, and Africa up 15%.

区域出口表现差异

Regional Export Performance Differences

东部"五省一市"出口普遍下降，但中西部地区出口增长5.9%，其中新疆、湖北、广西、四川分别增长23.6%、32.1%、17%和60.2%。

Exports from eastern China's "five provinces and one city" generally declined, but central and western regions saw 5.9% growth, with Xinjiang, Hubei, Guangxi and Sichuan increasing by 23.6%, 32.1%, 17% and 60.2% respectively.

2024年展望

2024 Outlook

国际货币基金组织预测2024年全球经济增速将放缓至2.9%。美国市场需求有望改善，但欧元区经济复苏乏力，日本消费持续疲软。同时需关注"近岸外包"趋势和地缘政治风险。

The IMF predicts global economic growth will slow to 2.9% in 2024. U.S. market demand is expected to improve, but Eurozone recovery remains weak and Japanese consumption continues to be sluggish. Attention should also be paid to "nearshoring" trends and geopolitical risks.

中国服装出口的竞争优势

China's Competitive Advantages in Garment Exports

尽管面临挑战，中国服装产业仍具备强大竞争力：完整的产业链、不断提升的产业升级、蓬勃发展的电商新业态，以及持续推进的数字化和绿色化转型。

Despite challenges, China's garment industry maintains strong competitiveness with complete supply chains, continuous industrial upgrading, thriving e-commerce models, and ongoing digital and green transformation.