2023年1-2月中国外贸数据分析：进出口总值6.18万亿元，外贸形势如何？
最新外贸数据显示：根据海关总署3月7日公布的数据，2023年1-2月中国进出口总值8957.2亿美元，同比下降8.3%。按人民币计算，进出口总值6.18万亿元人民币，同比微降0.8%。
Latest foreign trade data shows: According to the data released by the General Administration of Customs on March 7, China's total import and export value in January-February 2023 was $895.72 billion, down 8.3% year-on-year. Calculated in RMB, the total import and export value was 6.18 trillion yuan, a slight decrease of 0.8% year-on-year.
出口表现分析：前2个月出口3.5万亿元人民币，同比增长0.9%。东方金诚首席宏观分析师王青表示："主要原因是全球经济下行趋势下外需放缓"。值得注意的是，对东盟出口同比增长9.0%，汽车出口金额同比大增65.2%。
Export performance analysis: In the first two months, exports reached 3.5 trillion yuan, up 0.9% year-on-year. Wang Qing, chief macro analyst at Oriental Jincheng, said: "The main reason is the slowdown in external demand amid the global economic downturn." Notably, exports to ASEAN increased by 9.0% year-on-year, while auto export value surged 65.2% year-on-year.
进口情况：1-2月进口2.68万亿元人民币，同比下降2.9%。分析师指出，当前仍处于经济修复初期，企业主动补库存阶段尚未开启。
Import situation: Imports in January-February were 2.68 trillion yuan, down 2.9% year-on-year. Analysts pointed out that the economy is still in the early stages of recovery, and companies have not yet entered the active inventory replenishment phase.
2023年外贸展望：专家预测将呈现"前低后高"态势。广发证券首席经济学家郭磊认为："压力主要在一季度"。政策面将在贸易便利化和自由贸易试验区建设等方面持续发力。
2023 foreign trade outlook: Experts predict a "low first, high later" trend. Guo Lei, chief economist of GF Securities, believes that "the pressure is mainly in the first quarter." Policy efforts will continue in areas such as trade facilitation and construction of free trade pilot zones.
未来亮点领域：浙商证券首席经济学家李超指出两大潜在增长点：1) 供应链优势品类；2) 新能源相关产品出口。随着RCEP等贸易协定深入实施，东盟市场有望继续成为重要增长点。
Future bright spots: Li Chao, chief economist of Zhejiang Securities, pointed out two potential growth areas: 1) products with supply chain advantages; 2) new energy-related exports. With the deepening implementation of trade agreements such as RCEP, the ASEAN market is expected to continue to be an important growth point.
