政治局会议聚焦稳外贸：2025年出口压力与增长新动能

政治局会议聚焦稳外贸：2025年出口压力与增长新动能

Politburo Meeting Focuses on Stabilizing Foreign Trade: Export Pressures and New Growth Drivers for 2025

中国外贸现状与挑战

Current Status and Challenges of China's Foreign Trade

根据最新海关统计数据，2024年前10个月中国货物进出口总额达36.02万亿元人民币，同比增长5.2%。其中出口20.8万亿元，增长6.7%，贸易顺差扩大17.6%至5.58万亿元。

According to the latest customs statistics, China's total import and export volume of goods reached 36.02 trillion yuan in the first 10 months of 2024, a year-on-year increase of 5.2%. Exports amounted to 20.8 trillion yuan, growing by 6.7%, with the trade surplus expanding by 17.6% to 5.58 trillion yuan.

然而专家指出，10月份11.2%的出口增长可能包含"抢出口"因素，全球制造业PMI连续4个月徘徊在49%以下，显示外需环境并不乐观。

However, experts point out that the 11.2% export growth in October may include "front-loading exports" factors. The global manufacturing PMI has remained below 49% for four consecutive months, indicating an unfavorable external demand environment.

稳外贸政策组合拳

Policy Measures to Stabilize Foreign Trade

面对2025年的不确定性，中国政府已采取多项措施：

• 11月发布《关于促进外贸稳定增长的若干政策措施》
• 扩大出口信用保险覆盖范围
• 加强对外贸企业融资支持
• 促进跨境电商发展

Facing uncertainties in 2025, the Chinese government has taken multiple measures:

• Issued "Several Policy Measures to Promote Stable Growth of Foreign Trade" in November
• Expanded export credit insurance coverage
• Strengthened financial support for foreign trade enterprises
• Promoted cross-border e-commerce development

培育新增长点至关重要

Cultivating New Growth Drivers is Crucial

商务部研究院白明研究员强调："未来稳外贸需要在打造新动能上下功夫，不仅要发展'新三样'（新能源汽车、锂电池、光伏产品），更要培育'新四样'、'新五样'。"

Bai Ming, researcher at the Ministry of Commerce's Research Institute, emphasized: "Stabilizing foreign trade in the future requires efforts to create new drivers. We need to not only develop the 'new three' (new energy vehicles, lithium batteries, and photovoltaic products), but also cultivate the 'new four' and 'new five'."

应对国际环境变化

Responding to Changes in the International Environment

针对美国可能提高关税的问题，商务部副部长王受文表示："历史表明，加征关税不能解决贸易逆差问题，反而会推高进口国物价。中美经贸关系的稳定发展符合两国人民和世界人民的利益。"

Regarding possible U.S. tariff increases, Vice Minister of Commerce Wang Shouwen stated: "History shows that imposing tariffs cannot solve trade deficit problems but will instead raise prices in importing countries. The stable development of China-U.S. economic and trade relations serves the interests of both peoples and the world."