中国钢材出口连续五个月增长：板材创历史新高 下半年或承压
最新数据显示，中国钢材出口保持强劲增长势头，5月份出口量达835.6万吨，实现连续五个月增长，创下2016年10月以来最高水平。
According to the latest data, China's steel exports have maintained strong growth momentum, with May exports reaching 8.356 million tons, marking five consecutive months of growth and hitting the highest level since October 2016.
出口数据分析 | Export Data Analysis
中钢协统计显示：
- 5月钢材出口环比增加42.4万吨，同比增加59.7万吨
- 1-5月累计出口3636.9万吨，同比增长40.9%
- 板材出口量创历史新高，热轧板卷和中厚板增量明显
CISA statistics show:
- Steel exports in May increased by 424,000 tons month-on-month and 597,000 tons year-on-year
- Total exports from January to May reached 36.369 million tons, up 40.9% year-on-year
- Plate exports hit a record high, with significant increases in hot-rolled coils and medium-thick plates
价格走势 | Price Trends
5月份出口平均单价为922.2美元/吨，环比下降16.0%，同比下降33.1%。进口钢材平均单价为1737.2美元/吨，环比下降1.8%，同比上涨4.5%。
The average export price in May was $922.2/ton, down 16.0% month-on-month and 33.1% year-on-year. The average import price was $1,737.2/ton, down 1.8% month-on-month but up 4.5% year-on-year.
库存与生产情况 | Inventory and Production
全国钢材社会库存结束7周连降趋势，6月30日库存指数为112.4点，较上周上升0.92%。重点钢企生铁日均产量201.81万吨，旬环比上升0.73%。
National steel social inventories ended a seven-week declining trend, with the inventory index at 112.4 points on June 30, up 0.92% from the previous week. Daily pig iron production at key steel enterprises was 2.0181 million tons, up 0.73% from the previous ten-day period.
未来展望 | Future Outlook
中钢协预计短期内出口仍具韧性，但下半年可能承压回落。兰格钢铁研究中心指出，7月份天气因素将影响建筑钢材需求，制造业订单指数回落也将影响板材需求。
CISA expects exports to remain resilient in the short term but may face downward pressure in the second half. Lange Steel Research Center noted that weather factors in July will affect construction steel demand, while declining manufacturing order indices will impact plate demand.
专家观点：兰格钢铁研究中心主任王国清表示："稳增长政策持续发力对市场信心起到支撑作用，但需求端面临季节性压力。"
Expert opinion: Wang Guoqing, director of Lange Steel Research Center, said: "The continuous implementation of steady growth policies has supported market confidence, but demand faces seasonal pressures."
