跨境电商成为外贸增长新引擎：新质生产力视角下的发展趋势
【核心观点】在2024郑州跨境电商大会上，中国国际经济交流中心资深专家张大卫指出，跨境电商已成为稳外贸、促增长的"第二增长曲线"。2023年跨境电商进出口总额达2.38万亿元，较2018年增长125.4%。
Key Insight: At the 2024 Zhengzhou Cross-Border E-Commerce Conference, Zhang Dawei, a senior expert from the China Center for International Economic Exchanges, highlighted that cross-border e-commerce has become a "second growth curve" for stabilizing foreign trade and promoting growth. In 2023, the total import and export volume of cross-border e-commerce reached 2.38 trillion yuan, marking a 125.4% increase compared to 2018.
新质生产力视角下的跨境电商发展
Cross-Border E-Commerce Development from New Quality Productive Forces Perspective
张大卫表示，跨境电商业态充分体现了"技术革命性突破、生产要素创新性配置、产业深度转型升级"的本质特征。跨境电商依靠技术与知识资本为主的投入，提升了全要素生产率，优化了包括信息资源在内的各种市场要素资源配置。
Zhang Dawei noted that the cross-border e-commerce model fully embodies the essential characteristics of "revolutionary technological breakthroughs, innovative allocation of production factors, and deep industrial transformation and upgrading." Relying primarily on technology and knowledge capital inputs, cross-border e-commerce enhances total factor productivity and optimizes the allocation of various market factor resources, including information resources.
跨境电商的三大核心价值：
- 形成外贸新增长动能，缓冲市场需求低迷带来的挑战
- 构建现代供应链体系（平台枢纽+现代服务业+国际物流）
- 推动贸易范式变革，促进中小微企业发展
Three Core Values of Cross-Border E-Commerce:
- Forms new growth momentum for foreign trade, buffering challenges from sluggish market demand
- Builds modern supply chain systems (platform hub + modern service industry + international logistics)
- Drives trade paradigm transformation and promotes SME development
跨境电商发展建议：激发内生动力与创新力
Development Recommendations: Stimulating Endogenous Motivation and Innovation
张大卫提出三大发展建议：
Zhang Dawei proposed three key development recommendations:
1. 建设现代产业体系
培育壮大跨境电商平台，促进对外贸易创新发展，重塑产业体系。特别要关注"四小龙"平台的崛起，改变依赖国外平台的现状。
1. Building Modern Industrial Systems
Cultivate and strengthen cross-border e-commerce platforms to promote innovative development of foreign trade and reshape industrial systems. Special attention should be paid to the rise of the "Four Dragons" platforms to change the current reliance on foreign platforms.
2. 优化发展环境
建议在以下方面继续创新：
- 与国际规则对接
- 参与全球数字经济和数字贸易
- 完善跨境电商治理体系
2. Optimizing Development Environment
Recommended areas for continued innovation:
- Alignment with international rules
- Participation in global digital economy and digital trade
- Improving cross-border e-commerce governance systems
3. 改善产业布局
重点关注：
- 提升航空运力（跨境电商对航空运输依赖增强）
- 在中西部地区形成跨境电商产业带
- 优化人才、数据、平台等要素配置
3. Improving Industrial Layout
Key focus areas:
- Enhancing air transport capacity (increasing reliance of cross-border e-commerce on air transport)
- Forming cross-border e-commerce industrial belts in central and western regions
- Optimizing allocation of factors like talent, data, and platforms
专家预测，随着数字技术和数字经济的深入发展，跨境电商将继续推动国际贸易在贸易对象、方式、渠道等方面的深刻变革，成为新质生产力发展的代表性产业。
Experts predict that with the in-depth development of digital technology and the digital economy, cross-border e-commerce will continue to drive profound changes in international trade regarding trade objects, methods, and channels, becoming a representative industry for the development of new quality productive forces.
