外贸订单激增但价格维稳：2016年罗非鱼市场趋势深度分析
中国罗非鱼市场现状分析
2016年11月中旬，中国主要罗非鱼产区的塘头收购价格保持稳定：
1-1.6斤/尾规格：
- 珠海平沙地区：4元/斤
- 湛江地区：4.2元/斤
- 茂名地区：4.3-4.4元/斤
- 东莞谢岗地区：4.5元/斤
- 海南地区：4.1-4.3元/斤
0.6-1斤/尾规格：
- 珠海平沙地区：3元/斤
- 湛江地区：3.2元/斤
- 茂名地区：3.4元/斤
- 海南地区：3.3元/斤
Current Situation of China's Tilapia Market
Mid-November 2016, the pond-side purchase prices of tilapia in China's major producing areas remained stable:
1-1.6斤/tail specification:
- Zhuhai Pingsha area: 4元/斤
- Zhanjiang area: 4.2元/斤
- Maoming area: 4.3-4.4元/斤
- Dongguan Xiegang area: 4.5元/斤
- Hainan area: 4.1-4.3元/斤
0.6-1斤/tail specification:
- Zhuhai Pingsha area: 3元/斤
- Zhanjiang area: 3.2元/斤
- Maoming area: 3.4元/斤
- Hainan area: 3.3元/斤
市场趋势与外贸订单分析
由于外贸商为圣诞节和新年采购做准备，罗非鱼加工厂的外贸订单量出现暴增。然而，订单价格仍然维持在较低水平，加工厂方面也没有提高原料收购价格的意向。
目前各地罗非鱼存塘量充足，多数存塘鱼规格在0.8斤/尾左右。由于鱼价不理想，部分养殖户的卖鱼意愿不强。
Market Trends and Export Order Analysis
As foreign traders prepare for Christmas and New Year purchases, export orders for tilapia processing plants have surged. However, order prices remain at low levels, and processing plants show no intention to increase raw material purchase prices.
Currently, tilapia stocks in various regions are sufficient, with most fish in ponds weighing around 0.8斤/tail. Due to unsatisfactory prices, some farmers are reluctant to sell.
未来价格走势预测
预计后市各地罗非鱼价格仍将以稳定为主，价格上涨空间有限。进入农历十月后，罗非鱼苗种产量有所下滑，加之养殖户放苗热情不高，苗种销售情况不太理想。
Future Price Trend Forecast
It is expected that tilapia prices in various regions will remain stable in the future, with limited room for price increases. After entering the tenth lunar month, tilapia fry production has declined, coupled with farmers' low enthusiasm for stocking, resulting in unsatisfactory fry sales.
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