关税预期引发美线抢运潮？外贸企业加速出货，海运货代谨慎观望

关税预期引发美线抢运潮？外贸企业加速出货，海运货代谨慎观望

Will Tariff Expectations Trigger a US Route Rush? Exporters Accelerate Shipments While Freight Forwarders Remain Cautious

据红星资本局报道，在加税预期的影响下，业内预计可能会出现美线抢运现象，从而推动运价上涨。

According to Red Star Capital Bureau, under the influence of tariff hike expectations, industry insiders predict a potential rush on US routes that could drive up shipping rates.

外贸企业负责人表示，目前已经有加紧出货提前交付的考虑，但美线货运代理们仍处于观望状态。有货代称，目前尚未有任何实质变化，"我们也是在观望"。

Export company executives stated they are considering accelerating shipments for early delivery, while US route freight forwarders remain in wait-and-see mode. Some forwarders report no substantial changes yet, saying "we're also observing the situation."

外贸商：提前出货规避风险

Exporters: Shipping Early to Mitigate Risks

来自四川的王先生（化名）在纺织品和服装外贸领域深耕十年，他经营的公司部分产品出口美国。11月11日，他告诉红星资本局，近期已考虑加紧出货提前交付。

Mr. Wang (pseudonym) from Sichuan with ten years in textile and apparel exports told Red Star Capital Bureau on November 11 that his company is considering accelerating US-bound shipments.

"想在年前早点出货并运出去。"王先生说道。

"We want to ship out earlier before year-end." Mr. Wang said.

货代行业：旺季已过，未见抢运潮

Freight Forwarders: Peak Season Over, No Rush Observed

与外贸人加紧出货的考虑不同，美线货运代理们仍处于观望状态。浙江温州的陈小姐（化名）从事欧美加线海运货代，她对红星资本局表示，11月以来情况没有任何实质性变化。

Unlike exporters' urgency, freight forwarders remain cautious. Ms. Chen (pseudonym) from Wenzhou told Red Star Capital Bureau she's seen no substantial changes in US-Europe routes since November.

明先生（化名）从事美加线海运货代已达十年，他于2013年在上海开展业务。他告诉红星资本局，目前并未出现预期的美线"大爆仓"现象。

Mr. Ming (pseudonym), a 10-year veteran in US-Canada routes, reported no expected "container shortage crisis" in US routes currently.

运价走势：短期波动，长期稳定

Shipping Rates: Short-term Fluctuations, Long-term Stability

根据上海航运交易所的数据，11月8日最新一期中国出口集装箱运价指数（CCFI）显示：

Shanghai Shipping Exchange data on November 8 shows:

• 美西航线运价微升0.6%
• US West Coast rates rose 0.6%
• 美东航线运价上升3.6%
• US East Coast rates increased 3.6%

商务部研究院白明研究员指出："国际航运价格主要受世界经济形势影响。在当前经济形势下，国际航运市场短期内不可能有大的上涨。"

Researcher Bai Ming noted: "Global shipping rates are primarily influenced by world economic conditions. Under current circumstances, significant short-term increases are unlikely."

本文来源：红星新闻 | 记者：强亚铣 | 编辑：邓凌瑶

Source: Red Star News | Reporter: Qiang Yaxian | Editor: Deng Lingyao