中国外贸出口展现超预期韧性 民营企业成主力军

中国外贸出口展现超预期韧性 民营企业成主力军

China's Foreign Trade Exports Show Unexpected Resilience with Private Enterprises as Main Force

北京日报客户端报道 - 根据中国人民大学国家发展与战略研究院最新研究显示，2023年上半年中国外贸出口展现出超预期的韧性，其中民营企业已成为中国出口的主力军。

Beijing Daily Client Report - According to the latest research from the National Academy of Development and Strategy at Renmin University of China, China's foreign trade exports showed unexpected resilience in the first half of 2023, with private enterprises becoming the main force in China's exports.

在近日举办的中国宏观经济论坛(CMF)研讨会上，人大国发院副院长刘青发布的专题报告显示：

At the recent China Macroeconomic Forum (CMF) seminar, the special report released by Liu Qing, Vice President of the National Academy of Development and Strategy, showed that:

民营企业出口表现亮眼：
• 2022年出口额突破2万亿美元
• 2023年上半年保持1.8%的正增长
• 出口增长率高于国有和外资企业

Outstanding performance of private enterprises:
• Export value exceeded $2 trillion in 2022
• Maintained 1.8% growth in the first half of 2023
• Export growth rate higher than state-owned and foreign-funded enterprises

外资企业表现疲软：
• 近5年出口额徘徊在1万亿美元左右
• 2023年上半年出口额下降14.5%
• 进口增长持续低迷

Weak performance of foreign-funded enterprises:
• Export value hovered around $1 trillion in recent 5 years
• Export value decreased by 14.5% in the first half of 2023
• Continuous sluggish import growth

花旗银行大中华区首席经济学家余向荣表示："上半年中国出口韧性超预期，好于周边开放经济体。韩国、越南和日本的出口额分别同比下降了12.4%、11.9%和6.0%。"

Yu Xiangrong, Chief Economist for Greater China at Citibank, said: "China's export resilience in the first half of the year exceeded expectations and performed better than neighboring open economies. The export values of South Korea, Vietnam and Japan decreased by 12.4%, 11.9% and 6.0% year-on-year respectively."

影响出口韧性的关键因素：
1. 人民币汇率因素
2. 工业品价格(PPI)通缩
3. 贸易网络多元化
4. 产业结构持续优化

Key factors affecting export resilience:
1. RMB exchange rate factor
2. Industrial product price (PPI) deflation
3. Diversification of trade networks
4. Continuous optimization of industrial structure

专家预测，2023年全年中国出口额可能小幅下滑约2个百分点，但在全球贸易放缓背景下，中国出口仍将保持"优等生"的表现。

Experts predict that China's total export value may decline by about 2 percentage points in 2023, but against the backdrop of slowing global trade, China's exports will still maintain "top student" performance.

报告特别强调：贸易不仅仅是商品流动，更与技术流动密切相关。中国需要关注在发达经济体市场份额流失的问题。

The report particularly emphasizes: Trade is not just about the flow of goods, but also closely related to the flow of technology. China needs to pay attention to the loss of market share in developed economies.